New York Times on the Web Forums Science
Russian military leaders have expressed concern about US plans
for a national missile defense system. Will defense technology be
limited by possibilities for a strategic imbalance? Is this just SDI
all over again?
(7540 previous messages)
lunarchick
- 03:31pm Jul 28, 2001 EST (#7541
of 7543) lunarchick@www.com
Showalter, noted on the Political Thread that the Bwsh-MD
concepts were likened to a white elephant ... but didn't manage to
find one ... although one notes that they were thought to have
mystical powers ..
The Royal White Elephant
The white elephant was something above an ordinary
elephant. It had sacred power. It was the mount of the war god. It
brought fertility. For the kings of Burma and Siam, the possession
of these sacred beasts became very important. A king who had many,
fine white elephants would be successful - his kingdom would
prosper and his reign be long. If his white elephants died, it
foretold disaster for king and kingdom
... which gave their owners STATUS and mystical religious power
....
I got to wondering about the 'values' associated with ye olde
Southern Baptists .. how many white elephants would be required
to carry the golden commissions Carlye might 'take' were the defense
budget increased to 'Shield' proportions ?
rshowalter
- 04:21pm Jul 28, 2001 EST (#7542
of 7543) Robert Showalter
showalte@macc.wisc.edu
The economic incentives to avoid clarity on the missile shield
are huge but concentrated in a relatively few groups, and,
basically, in only one country -- the United States. The interest of
perhaps 99%+ of Americans (if they knew it) and essentially ALL
other people in the world is for right answers, and reasonable
choices, on matters of life and death -- not expensive, dangerous
delusions.
The 1% or fewer who are FOR the fraud, however, have very large
stakes, and are strategically placed. And if they care more
than anyone else, and have some politicians bought -- they may look
invincible.
But they aren't. When powerful salesmen, with all sorts of
negotiating power, consistently fail to make a sale - - that in
itself begins to become persuasive.
For very basic reasons, some but not all discussed on this thread
already, "missile defense" is not only bad strategy - - ill
motivated -- but also a technical fraud. (Years ago, it might have
been fair to say "unfortunate mistake" -and that would still
be fair as far as some people are concerned -- but for the military
officers and contractors with close responsiblity to the project
fraud is the operative word.)
That can be shown in public - once there are enough
"stakeholders" to insist that, at lieast on this issue, checking
is morally forcing.
We're not there yet, but we're getting closer.
rshowalter
- 04:22pm Jul 28, 2001 EST (#7543
of 7543) Robert Showalter
showalte@macc.wisc.edu
I wish I were faster responding to some very good points by
almarst -- and I've gone through some drafts - - hope to
respond in ways that might interest him.
Chances of meeting the objectives almarst has expressed on
this thread over the months are beginning to look good to me --
though far from certain. On a few questions of fact - - there will
have to be a fight, with real stakes.
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Missile Defense
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