New York Times on the Web Forums Science
Russian military leaders have expressed concern about US plans
for a national missile defense system. Will defense technology be
limited by possibilities for a strategic imbalance? Is this just SDI
all over again?
(4654 previous messages)
ghstwrtrx2
- 08:50am Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4655
of 4673) There are two kinds of Christians. Those that accept
their faith as a gift, and those who wield it as a weapon.
I have read that antiballistic missiles are akin to trying to hit
a BB, with another BB from a mile away.
possumdag
- 11:28am Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4656
of 4673) Possumdag@excite.com
A comedy re President Bwsh played on Australian TV tonight ....
we didn't get Clinton Comedies .. although the Clintons
hinted that the American Right kept them in the Courthouse trying to
pin the tail on dead donkeys for many years .. !
The British leader - Tony Blair - is very much the man we
see - he seems to be. He's a man working for incremental
improvement to shape up the UK, the economy is buzzing ..
and social needs were also on the minds of voters. In the UK
there's a head of state - QEII .. who doesn't interfere in Politics.
The American Leader - the current one - seems a bit of a
damp squib - a dud. America has a huge population. How
does a dud get into power? The guy seems to be only
interested in the Oil and armaments issues! Although rich,
rich, rich, he lacked the curiosity to do normal things such a
stravel and explore the world - he didn't prepare himself for
Presidency. How is it that the American Constitution bestows
so much power upon ONE man - who may not be the RIGHT man ?
dirac_10
- 11:47am Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4657
of 4673)
ghstwrtrx2 - 08:50am Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4655 of 4656)
I have read that antiballistic missiles are akin to trying to
hit a BB, with another BB from a mile away.
Then you heard wrong. In the first place, we ain't shooting BB's.
It's generally a laser or missle. In the missle case, it's more like
hitting a BB with a BB from an inch away. And the laser is speed of
light.
We can shoot down jets and rockets from over 10 km away right now
with lasers. The big lasers that do it have never missed.
Heck, we even sell them to foreign governments.
You didn't know that?
smartalix
- 12:08pm Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4658
of 4673) Anyone who denies you information considers
themselves your master
BS, Dirac.
We have yet to display consistent intercept with a missile under
any circumstances. Even the antiquated Scud managed to get past the
Patriot system (akin to the Aegis system which is also presented as
a missile-intercept system) consistently enough to demonstrate the
insanity of relying on such a system to protect against nuclear
attack. Even in the cases where intercept occurred, the warhead was
not destroyed.
Laser systems are more consistent in intercept, but are too
reliant, even with adaptive optics, on weather conditions. Also, if
the warhead is properly protected (with ablative armor, say) the
only thing a laser can accomplish is some energy transfer resulting
in the (still functioning) warhead reaching the earth (albeit
off-target, but we're talking about a nuke here.)
I am for continued research, but to deploy a faulty system,
especially if done unilaterally, is destabilizing and
counterproductive to peace.
dirac_10
- 12:50pm Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4659
of 4673)
smartalix - 12:08pm Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4658 of 4658)
BS, Dirac.
Actually P.A.M. but whatever.
We have yet to display consistent intercept with a missile
under any circumstances.
Get a clue. The lasers have never ever missed. Need a link?
Even the antiquated Scud managed to get past the
Patriot system (akin to the Aegis system which is also presented
as a missile-intercept system)
Entertain the idea that technology has improved in the last 10
years. If not, I have a nice selection of 1990 computers you might
be interested in.
consistently enough to demonstrate the insanity of
relying on such a system to protect against nuclear attack.
The insanity is to have nothing to protect us. That's rather
clear.
Even in the cases where intercept occurred, the warhead was
not destroyed.
The existing lasers, if they can line of sight hit the booster,
destroy it without fail. The warhead lands on those that launched
it. Boosters are sitting ducks for missles too. Anything ballistic
is a sitting duck, but warheads are tougher than rockets.
Laser systems are more consistent in intercept, but are too
reliant, even with adaptive optics, on weather
conditions.
Consistant? They have never missed. They're batting a thousand.
And weather conditions are pretty peaceful above the clouds.
Adapative optics seems to work pretty well.
Now, the Golden Fleece, being to be able to use massively
powerful, cheap, ground based lasers depends on the weather, but
there are those that claim that 5 of them in correctly placed
locations will always have one of them with a clear shot.
Granted that lasers are more suited to blowing up boosters than
warheads, but eventually they will be able to do that too.
They are well over a megawatt right now. That's a lot already.
Also, if the warhead is properly protected (with
ablative armor, say) the only thing a laser can accomplish is
some energy transfer
Somewhere around 100 megawatts, for a few seconds and the warhead
vaporizes. We're not there yet, gonna have to go for the boosters
for a while, but keep a good thought. Manhattan project money would
do it in about the same amount of time.
resulting in the (still functioning) warhead reaching
the earth (albeit off-target, but we're talking about a nuke
here.)
Boost phase puts the warhead on the bad guys. And disabling a
warhead 50 km away is better than nothing. The N. Koreans won't know
the precise range and will have to risk a dud, or blow it up much
further out.
I am for continued research, but to deploy a faulty
system,
It's not "faulty" any more than an aircraft carrier. And it's a
very small part of the defense budget. A real value at any price to
stop Saddam from the easy option of destroying us.
especially if done unilaterally, is destabilizing and
counterproductive to peace.
Oh sure, one minute it won't work against the stinking stupid N.
Koreans, and the next you tell us that mighty Russia would be
worried. Make up your mind, can't have it both ways.
Having a growing host of ruthless thug dictators (or kings like
in N. Korea) have the ability to destroy us is what is destabilizing
and counterproductive to peace. Russia can totally destroy us now.
Including an accidental missle launch. What's the difference? They,
at least have a track record of sanity about it.
(14 following messages)
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Missile Defense
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