New York Times on the Web Forums Science
Russian military leaders have expressed concern about US plans
for a national missile defense system. Will defense technology be
limited by possibilities for a strategic imbalance? Is this just SDI
all over again?
(2819 previous messages)
cookiess0
- 01:37pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2820
of 2828)
rshowalter -
I'm just a person with a degree in international affairs whom
concentrated in national security policy. That is it.
rshowalter
- 01:40pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2821
of 2828) Robert Showalter
showalte@macc.wisc.edu
In important ways, it doesn't matter, just now, what I believe
about who "becq" was, or who you are. I wasn't alone in my belief
that "becq" was Bill Clinton. Also, the dialog, whoever you are, and
whoever "becq" was -- was interesting -- and I believe showed a good
deal about what US nuclear policy is. And "becq" got me to read a
lot of Hobbes, too -- interesting stuff.
glennlab
- 01:41pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2822
of 2828)
Even if we give the Bush administration that a NMD can work, the
question is can it do any good. An ICBM with launch harware and
warhead will cost a rougue nation on the magnitude of $100 million
not counting R & D, where a cheaper, more effective method would
be to ship the warhead here on a ship. A 1 megaton warhead would
weigh approximately 2000 pounds, create a fireball with a diameter
of 6000 feet, and could be placed in a seatainer,shielded and
disguised on any incoming freighter. The organization would be able
to ship to a predetermined destination, no problems with radar, and
large amounts of colateral damage.
The fact is anyone that wants to get to us, can. Launching a
tracable nuclear missle would not be the smartest way. Since this
system will not stop "terrorist" I would sumize as Reagan did, that
this system is offensive in nature and has little if any defensive
capabilities.
The second, more compelling issue is whether the system will work
on true incoming. The target will be roughly 2 feet in diameter, 4-5
in length moving in excess of 20,000 mph, and we are going to hit it
dead on with a blast of sometype to destroy it. Now these warheads
are made to detonate when they come in contact with the ground at
25,000 mph, so it is going to be one large blast to even phase it.
rshowalter
- 01:41pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2823
of 2828) Robert Showalter
showalte@macc.wisc.edu
Now about Star Wars -- it doesn't work. And for technical reasons
--- can't .
cookiess0
- 01:42pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2824
of 2828)
rshowalter - 01:40pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2821 of 2821)
If you need "proof" just go to the South Asian politics forum and
ask. The loud one, "mooong" will clearly give you his mind on me:)
None of his personalized jabs are worth considering but at least the
"clinton" vail will go away:)
cookiess0
- 01:44pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2825
of 2828)
rshowalter - 01:40pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2821 of 2821)
Be warned. If you do decide to investigate-he will clutter this
forum with useless rants-for he enjoys being the fool. He is quite
racist and it would be a shame to have the forum cluttered with such
garbage.
rshowalter
- 01:44pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2826
of 2828) Robert Showalter
showalte@macc.wisc.edu
There's also the matter of stealth technology, and its optical
analogs.
The resolution problems on Star Wars are crazy.
There are, however, some limited technical possiblities. If a
country knows exactly where our missile subs are, and they have a
small, fishing boat sized ship tracking -- they can take the
missiles out with a light machine gun, as they emerge from the water
. . . .
Farther along on the trajectory -- things get harder.
rshowalter
- 01:46pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2827
of 2828) Robert Showalter
showalte@macc.wisc.edu
cookiess0
4/30/01 1:44pm
Consider me deterred.
In a proportional and non-nuclear manner.
rshowalter
- 01:47pm Apr 30, 2001 EST (#2828
of 2828) Robert Showalter
showalte@macc.wisc.edu
A limited objective, achieved by limited means, with minimal
costs to the interactors.
MUCH better than nukes.
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Missile Defense
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