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    Missile Defense

Russian military leaders have expressed concern about US plans for a national missile defense system. Will defense technology be limited by possibilities for a strategic imbalance? Is this just SDI all over again?


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rshowalter - 05:43pm Apr 18, 2001 EST (#2378 of 2383) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

Colin Powell will have his hands full, with both the Israelis and the Palestinians. The Palestinians have to concede -- really concede - Israel's right to exist. And the Israelis need to make some REAL concessions -- enough so that peace and prosperity are really possible. On both sides, there have been so many lies, and everybody is so angry that resolutions will be hard, intellectually and emotionally, under the best of circumstances.

But without admission of a great deal of posing and deception on BOTH sides, resolution is impossible.

rshowalter - 05:46pm Apr 18, 2001 EST (#2379 of 2383) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

The problems with getting rid of nuclear weapons, or at least getting them under good control -- and other problems of military balances, are essentially similar.

The technical problems aren't so very hard -- but with all sides "blackmailable" whenever they are "caught in a lie" -- and with everyone refusing to admit, even to themselves, how much deception has gone on, situations that would be soluble stay insoluble.

And the whole world is put at grave risk. And many chances for greater human comfort and beauty are missed.

rshowalter - 06:03pm Apr 18, 2001 EST (#2380 of 2383) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

rshowalter 2/14/01 7:36am reads in part:

I made a proposal for getting nuclear weapons down rshowalt 9/25/00 7:32am that depends, in large part, on an insight from cryptography.

Encoding in clear can be safe, and under circumstances of distrust, can be essential. lunarchick "Science News Poetry" 2/14/01 5:57am

With my partner, Dawn Riley, we did a demonstration.

  • *****

    #262 in Science News Poetry makes the main point - though other parts of the thread have things to show about the people who have been harassing us. #262 ends with this:

    ' In clear: Lying is more dangerous than people think, and soaks up more attention than people know. We can do less of it. We can send in clear - the message, almost always, will be peaceful. And complex cooperation, now so often terminated with deceptive sequences, could happen more often.

    rshowalter - 06:11pm Apr 18, 2001 EST (#2381 of 2383) Delete Message
    Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

    I think it may be useful to review where this forum has been since September 25, 2000.

    Summary of Postings to March 1
    rshowalter 3/1/01 4:08pm
    rshowalter 3/1/01 4:12pm
    rshowalter 3/1/01 4:14pm
    rshowalter 3/1/01 4:25pm
    rshowalter 3/1/01 4:27pm
    rshowalter 3/1/01 4:32pm

    rshowalter 3/2/01 8:16am

    shortly thereafter, Almarst_2001 came on, with a powerful first posting almarstel2001 3/5/01 12:17am representing the Russian point of view.

    I think we've made progress in the ~ 1550 postings since.

    rshowalter - 06:36pm Apr 18, 2001 EST (#2382 of 2383) Delete Message
    Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

    Two of almarst's postings were of particular interest to me. I find them interesting because I believe, from the quality of his postings, that almarst has a good sense of how thought processes go in high Russian government circles.

    In md#892 almarstel2001 3/9/01 12:48pm he set out, quite reasonably, the reasons why, with current challenges, Russia feels she needs nuclear weapons.

    In md#2012 almarst-2001 4/5/01 2:44pm he agreed, subject to many "mutually dependent" conditions that we'd been discussing, that nuclear weapons might perhaps be effectively outlawed, with Russia's agreement.

    This was just on a NYT thread. Just a "dry run." But "dry runs" have their uses.
    rshowalter 4/5/01 3:17pm
    rshowalter 4/5/01 9:00pm

    rshowalter - 06:46pm Apr 18, 2001 EST (#2383 of 2383) Delete Message
    Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

    A fairly compact summary of this thread from March 1 to date, with many links, is in Psychwar, Casablanca, and Terror -- from #159 to today. http://talk.guardian.co.uk/WebX?14@@.ee7a163/165

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