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    Missile Defense

Russian military leaders have expressed concern about US plans for a national missile defense system. Will defense technology be limited by possibilities for a strategic imbalance? Is this just SDI all over again?


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rshowalter - 12:22pm Feb 19, 2001 EST (#714 of 717) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

"The big picture." : How do our military arrangements look, in terms of what our military is supposed to do for our country, and for the world? rshowalter 2/9/01 1:53pm And in terms of the totality of United States interests, and values, in the world?

In "Beauty" http://www.everreader.com/beauty.htm Mark Anderson quotes Heisenberg's definition of beauty in the exact sciences:

"Beauty is the proper conformity of the parts to one another and to the whole."

SUGGESTED DEFINITION: Good military theory is an attempt to produce beauty in Heisenberg's sense in a SPECIFIC context of assumption and data.

Goodness can be judged in terms of that context, and also the fit with other contexts that, for logical reasons, have to fit together.

The beauty, and ugliness, of a theory can be judged, in terms of the context it was built for, and other contexts, including the context provided by data not previously considered.

Everything has to fit together (and, I think, be clearly describable in words, pictures, and quantitative descriptions, linked together comfortably and workably, both as far as internal consistency goes, and in terms of fit to what the military theory is supposed to apply to in action.

Military theories that are useful work comfortably in people's heads, so that they can guide real action..

Both the "beauty" and "ugliness" of military theory are INTERESTING . Both notions apply in the detailed context the military applies to.

That goes for military practice, too.

rshowalter - 12:26pm Feb 19, 2001 EST (#715 of 717) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

Ugliness is an especially interesting notion. To make theory better, you have to look for ways that the theory is ugly, study these, and fix them.

The ugly parts are where new beauty is to be found.

Priorities matter:

To make good theory, in complex circumstances, beauty coming into focus must be judged, and shaped, in a priority ordering - and even though the priorities may be shifted for different attempts at beauty, the priorities need to be remembered, and questions of what is beautiful and what ugly have to be asked in terms of these priorities.

If the priorities are wrong, the results are ugly in the ways that matter. If the priorities are muddled, or nonsensical, they are wrong.

Intellectual work, and scientific work, is an effort to find previously hidden beauty , and this is what moves people, and warms people. This need for beauty must be remembered, and not stripped away.

We need to find beautiful solutions to our military security, and the military balances of the world. Theres ugliness enough around that theres room for new beauty, and new hope.

In yesterdays Getting More Bang for the Armed Forces Buck ...... by Steven Lee Myers ..... The Nation .... WEEK IN REVIEW includes this, in reverse order of occurrance:

"As Mr. Rumsfeld himself acknowledged, the present military was built for the cold war, not the threats of tomorrow. "

that makes it ugly.

The priorities set out in the piece were NOT in the national interest.

"revolutionizing the armed forces would mean defeating the nation's most determined foes of revolution: the armed forces and their allies. Members of Congress will fight to the death for weapons programs in their own districts, just as the services will resist upsetting the delicate funding balance between them."

that's ugly.

If you look at our nuclear arrangments, and the risks involved with them, they are unbearably ugly.

The idea of a missile defense is a beautiful idea in its own terms, but performance to date, and technical prospects, seem far from beautiful, or even technically defensible.

rshowalter - 12:29pm Feb 19, 2001 EST (#716 of 717) Delete Message
Robert Showalter showalte@macc.wisc.edu

On another thread, I've had some discussions with people who feel that the US military should be radically downsized - a position I'm not at all sure I agree with.

Those discussions mirror some reactions I had from a CIA contact.

I made contact with this man, setting out the proposal for nuclear but not conventional disarmament set out in #266, rshowalt 9/25/00 7:32am , giving the agency permission to monitor some email accounts I shared with Dawn Riley, and offering other cooperation.

After staff discussions, he got back to me. It was clear that a major problem his staff colleagues had was to be sure that I was proposing nuclear but not conventional disarmament. In the discussion, it seemed that these staff colleagues did not have a clear sense of what the US military establishment was in existence for.

How about promoting the peace, comfort and safety of the United States? In a world that is stable, and with our military functioning in ways that make Americans proud, and other nations respectful, according to American ideals?

For that, the military budget might be worth every penny. But by that standard, there is thinking to do, and new beauty must be found, where ugliness now exists.

That, in my view, is "the big picture" lunarchick 2/19/01 12:23am suggests we keep an eye on.

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