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Technology has always found its greatest consumer in a nation's
war and defense efforts. Since the last attempts at a "Star Wars"
defense system, has technology changed considerably enough to make
the latest Missile Defense initiatives more successful? Can such an
application of science be successful? Is a militarized space
inevitable, necessary or impossible?
Read Debates, a
new Web-only feature culled from Readers' Opinions, published every
Thursday.
(155 previous messages)
boeingsupporter
- 03:50pm Jul 8, 2000 EST (#156
of 11858)
Is a National Missle Defense necessary? I think so! Other
countries are threatened that if the US is successful in developing
a strong Missle Defense, it will diminish their "missle power". Tell
me how that would make a weaker world? If countries think it's
necessary to have the 'strength' to destroy another country, then
how peaceful is that?!?
Most US states require liability automobile insurance, and most
Americans have homeowners and life insurance. Isn't a Missle Defense
system just an insurance? Do other motorists feel threatened knowing
that you have auto insurance to protect you? No...because they
aren't out to destroy you like Russia, China, and some other
countries may be.
If the US is successful in developing a strong National Missle
Defense system, maybe other countries will follow that lead, and do
the same. Then, maybe ALL countries...including the US...will lose
that "missle power", and we can all live in a peaceful world. But
wait, we still have to look out for those sport utility
vehicles...that we all know were designed to destroy the 'normal'
motorist!
It's all about INSURANCE! I support the National Missle Defense
INSURANCE....and I am behind Boeing as the Lead Systems Integrator.
frankmz
- 06:55pm Jul 8, 2000 EST (#157
of 11858)
<< It's all about INSURANCE! I support the National Missle
Defense INSURANCE....and I am behind Boeing as the Lead Systems
Integrator.
Hogwash! A system that doesn't work is not insurance. All any
nation has to do to defeat a missile defence system is to build
enough missiles to overwhelm the system.
The very existence of a missile defence system promotes an
arms race , so we have spent hundreds of billions of dollars
and still would not have a defence against an even bigger threat
than existed to begin with!
sdinutss
- 08:32pm Jul 8, 2000 EST (#158
of 11858)
palousereader - 09:41am Jul 8, 2000 EDT (#151 of 157)
You just FO NOT GET IT.
(smile) its ok-the concept I am talking about is so simple-so
easy-I believe your thinking too much about it.
In both your retorts to my posts you indicated this outside
nation or force would step in- yet to fail to note-that in doing
so-that nation risks actually in your fantasy its more like insured
that they would be obliverated as well-everyone loses!@-thus why
nobody does anything-thus why nation A never would threaten nation
B-and if it did-it would surely in the not so distance end game mean
loss of its survival. Nations with small amounts of nuclear weapons
realise that the infliction of pain they can induce is only enough
to protect ones national survival. Nations unlike you it appears
take into consideration ones survival
sdinutss
- 11:20pm Jul 8, 2000 EST (#159
of 11858)
By perusing a concept that attempts to survive nuclear warfare
you give nuclear warfare a ‘chance’. That ‘chance’ of survival
destroys the very essence of the worldwide deterrence model. That is
why the international community has overwhelmingly tipped the scales
in opposition to this system. That is why SALT I and the ABM
protocols exist between the two largest nuclear powers. Deployment
of such a system embraces the theoretical perspective of Nuclear
Utilization Theory. It may not be the intent of those who deploy-but
every rational state views the system as a total embrace of a theory
designed to win a nuclear war. That perspective (NUTS)(grin) implies
that not only will nuclear war be fought-but it mussed be fought to
survive and win. In such a pursuit, you lower conventional warfare
thresholds and lower the crossover points at which conventional
conflict goes into nuclear conflict. This is due to the very fact
that one has added a chance to something in which no chance existed
prior. You cannot posture yourself against the irrational actor- the
minority of this world. Doing so only requires the majority if this
world (rational actors) to balance against your own actions. You
cannot thwart the irrational actor because the irrational actor has
no limits or boundaries. The very name implies that the irrational
actor is impossible to deter. As noted by the CIA of May 19th 00,
the terminology of ‘rogue’ state has no significant in the course of
debate regarding missile deference because ‘rouge’ implies that such
states are irrational and every state America has labeled rouge is
rational. The rational/irrational actor model is core issue
regarding deterrence. As the CIA pointed out, rouge state has ‘more
political significance then true value to the structure of
deterrence’. In short the largest nuclear power embarking on the
deployment of a system designed to survive nuclear strikes creates
the impetus for every rational actor, depost to allie to do the
same. All at varying levels of technological development all at
varying levels of effiencey. In doing so-you destroy nuclear
deterrence-the very concept that has maintained no use of nuclear
weapons against states since 1945. If one recalls our operational
experience in Desert Storm is that while missile defense did not
work very well, deterrence did work very well. Saddam Hussein had
poison gas-tipped Scuds that were available for launch at the time
of the war, and he did not use them. Subsequently, after the U.S.
military interrogated some defectors and some captured Iraqi
leaders, it became clear why not: Saddam Hussein did not want to get
blown up. Before the war, the United States, Britain, France and
Israel had all stated, both publicly and privately, that if he was
the first to use weapons of mass destruction, he would not be the
last to use weapons of mass destruction. Saddam Hussein and his
kindred despots in other countries that we are worried about have
not survived for extended periods of time by being stupid or
careless. They are ruthless and cruel and sometimes reckless, but
they don't remain in power, despite our repeated attempts in the
case of Saddam Hussein to dislodge him, by being careless about the
survival of their regime. Saddam Hussein understood very well that
if he initiated the use of weapons of mass destruction, our
retaliation would annihilate his regime. So the notion that missile
defense is the only bulwark we have against weapons of mass
destruction attacks from these regimes simply flies in the face of
our actual experience, in which deterrence has worked very well and
missile defense has not worked very well at all.
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