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Technology has always found its greatest consumer in a
nation's war and defense efforts. Since the last attempts at a
"Star Wars" defense system, has technology changed
considerably enough to make the latest Missile Defense
initiatives more successful? Can such an application of
science be successful? Is a militarized space inevitable,
necessary or impossible?
Read Debates, a new
Web-only feature culled from Readers' Opinions, published
every Thursday.
(6870 previous messages)
gisterme
- 10:21pm Dec 20, 2002 EST (#
6871 of 6897)
commondata
12/17/02 3:20pm
"This roll-out is absolutely nothing to do with missile
defense is it?..."
Roll out? By that do you mean the decision to deploy some
anti-ballistic missile interceptors? How could that have
nothing to do with missile defense??? Your statement is
nonsense.
"...This is about being able to shoot anything out of
the sky, anywhere at anytime..."
Ten interceptors in Alaska could do that? We must be
farther along with our missile technology than I thought. It's
much easier to believe that your statement is nonsense.
"...This is an offensive weapon."
You've acheived a nonsnse-statement hat trick, commondata.
None of the old Cold War combatants need more offensive
weapons. The problem is that we all already have too many of
those. The big problem now is how to get rid of them.
It seems apparant that no nation who has WMD never be able
to get rid of them all as long as somebody else has
or may have them. That "conventional wisdom" may not be
the last word, however.
Perhaps having a defense against particular classes of WMD
such as ballistic missiles would make it possible to get rid
of all of our own without having to be absolutely sure that no
others exist in the world.
If we had no ICBMs ourselves but a shield that could
defend against small numbers of ICBMs other folks might shoot
at us how would that make us the bad guys?
gisterme
- 10:46pm Dec 20, 2002 EST (#
6872 of 6897)
wrcooper
12/17/02 4:51pm
"We could handle the N. Korean threat in other ways,
principally diplomatically. We persuaded the Kim Il-sung
regime to back down before..."
Ummm, I think it's more like Kim Il-sung persuaded us to
send him a few billion dollars worth of aid and nuclear
technology and he didn't back down at all. We got rookie-dood.
...We can do it again..."
I'm sure Kim Il would be delighted if we did! I don't guess
we'd better. We've only managed to get egg on our face by
negotiating with those who do not negotiate in good faith.
"...a space elevator may now be possible, given the
discovery and mass production of carbon nanotubes. Such a
structure would make possible the full commercialization of
space, ending the search for cheap access to orbit. Current
estimates suggest it could be made for $20-30 billion within
12 years..."
Sounds great. Would that be a juicy terrorist target or
what? Could that survive having one of those new SSTs flown
into it?
"...Will we launch a massive national effort to build
it?..."
Not likely so long as there are those who will be trying to
destroy it.
"...But we will be developing missile interceptors to
stop a virtually nonexistent threat..."
How do you know the treat is "virtually nonexistent",
commondata? Have Kim Il-jung and Saddam been telling you so?
Did they offer some explanation as to why they are working so
hard to develop or aquire long range ballistic missiles? Are
they trying to get them so they won't have to use them? Is
that a line of reasoning that would convince you of their good
intentions? That wouldn't surprise me too much, commondata.
"...when there are other less expensive and risky means
to do the job."
First thing I'd observe about this statement is that it
seems to contradict your predeeding statement that there's no
job to be done. However, I'd like to hear what your less
expensive and risky means of "doing the job" would be. How
would you suggest stopping ballistic missiles with less cost
and risk, commondata?
gisterme
- 10:50pm Dec 20, 2002 EST (#
6873 of 6897)
Oops...
Sorry commondata...I meant to address wrcooper in the
previous post.
gisterme
- 10:57pm Dec 20, 2002 EST (#
6874 of 6897)
lunarchick
12/17/02 11:27pm
"...Chimps might run a workshop on empowerment through
'social grooming' ... win-win - and live in improved
circumstance :) "
Right! What an easy thing to visualize. Us picking fleas
off of chimps while their fleas jumped from them to us...and
chimps picking fleas off of us while their fleas jumped from
them to us. That is as win-win situation...FOR THE
FLEAS!
gisterme
- 11:08pm Dec 20, 2002 EST (#
6875 of 6897)
vanceco
12/18/02 9:06am
"...ABM, by definition(anti-BALLISTIC missile) will not
work against 'cruise' missiles. russia and china already have
cruise missile technology, and could easily sell the systems
throughout the world."
They already do. Where do you think the silkworm cruise
missiles the NKs have came from?
An effective defense against bacteria would not likely be
effective against rogue elephants and an effective defense
against rogue elephants would not likely be effective against
bacteria.
It's no more surprising that an effective ABM defense would
be useless against cruise missiles and existing
effective defenses against cruise missles are useless against
ballistic missiles.
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