New York Times on the Web Forums
Science
Technology has always found its greatest consumer in a
nation's war and defense efforts. Since the last attempts at a
"Star Wars" defense system, has technology changed
considerably enough to make the latest Missile Defense
initiatives more successful? Can such an application of
science be successful? Is a militarized space inevitable,
necessary or impossible?
Read Debates, a new
Web-only feature culled from Readers' Opinions, published
every Thursday.
(4441 previous messages)
lchic
- 07:39am Sep 20, 2002 EST (#
4442 of 4448)
Krugman notes (above) that the Bush crowd have no VISION
wrt people's needs from their economy.
Clinton, H R picks up on this too
NY - "city's unemployment rate has skyrocketed to 8
percent"
http://www.nytimes.com/2002/09/20/opinion/20CLIN.html
~~~~~~~
Thought for the day - will the 'rich' kids in office gut
America ... the Enron way ... and if they do, then later ....
who'll have to pay?
lchic
- 07:47am Sep 20, 2002 EST (#
4443 of 4448)
http://www.economist.com/
Fiscal policy
Deficits, dividends and discretion
Sep 19th 2002 | WASHINGTON, DC From The Economist print
edition
The present is better than it looks; the future may be
worse
HOW well off is the American government? The answer depends
on the timeframe. From a long-term perspective, the
government's finances have taken a hit. When George Bush
entered the White House, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO)
expected surpluses of $5.6 trillion over the next decade. Now
the forecast is for a surplus of around $1 trillion by
2012—and that is only if you assume that Mr Bush's tax cuts
will expire in 2010, something they are formally supposed to
do, but few politicians believe will happen. In practice,
those tax cuts, coupled with a falling stockmarket and
Congress's appetite for spending, have eaten up the surplus.
On a short-term view, though, the picture is different.
Fiscal loosening has helped prop up the faltering economy.
Indeed, with state budgets tightening, interest rates at
historic lows and the recovery still looking anaemic, some on
Wall Street think that a greater fiscal stimulus may be
necessary.
According to the Bush team, the right sort of fiscal
policy is to control spending now and cut taxes in the
future. Mr Bush has happily signed plenty of expensive
laws, including $86 billion in new farm subsidies over the
next ten years, and only this week the White House warned
that a war with Iraq might cost $200 billion. But the
president makes much of Congress's profligacy. In August, he
pointedly refused to sign a bill that contained $5.1 billion
in “emergency spending”, which he deemed unnecessary. Just
this week, he berated Senate Democrats for their lack of
budget discipline.
Mr Bush believes that the best boost for America's drooping
economy is to make last year's tax cut permanent. Others want
an immediate round of tax cuts too. Larry Lindsey, Mr Bush's
closest economic adviser, is championing a package of measures
designed to help beleaguered stockmarket investors. The
economic merits of these ideas are mixed. One idea—reducing
the double taxation of dividends—would improve the tax code.
Another—allowing people to put more money into tax-preferred
retirement accounts—might boost saving, but that would mean
that consumers spent less in shops now.
The main point of talking about such tax cuts is political.
Even Mr Bush's supporters agree that tax cuts for investors
would have virtually no chance of congressional passage before
November's elections. The idea is to give Republicans
something to offer investors, though some congressional
Republicans worry that they would be accused of pandering to
the rich.
A sinking ship?
That would certainly be the Democrats' position. They have
blamed the worsening deficits on Mr Bush's tax cuts, often in
dramatic terms. Kent Conrad, the chairman of the Senate Budget
Committee, says the president is “punching more holes in the
hull as the ship goes down.”
Despite their claims to fiscal probity, only a minority of
Democrats (including two presidential hopefuls, Joe Lieberman
and John Edwards) have argued that the tax cut should be
delayed or rolled back. And the Democrats have made no effort
to scale back their spending plans, which include expensive
prescription-drug benefits for older Americans.
Alan Greenspan has also weighed in. There is plenty of
fiscal stimulus already in the pipeline, argues the chairman
of the Federal Reserve: the real risk is that Congress may
abandon fiscal discipline entirely. Avoiding this fate does
not mean rolling back Mr Bush's tax cuts (which Mr Greenspan
famously endorsed last year), but depends on controlling
spending. Mr Greenspan wants a raft of budget rules that were
introduced in 1990 and are due to expire on September 30th to
be extended. These rules set explicit caps on discretionary
spending (the money that lawmakers appropri
(5 following messages)
New York Times on the Web Forums
Science
Missile Defense
|