New York Times on the Web Forums Science
Russian military leaders have expressed concern about US plans
for a national missile defense system. Will defense technology be
limited by possibilities for a strategic imbalance? Is this just SDI
all over again?
(4831 previous messages)
midmoon
- 09:56am Jun 12, 2001 EST (#4832
of 4841)
Hellow every one! I've just come into this forum. I have a doubt
why this forum confines the discussion theme to the strategic
imbalance between Russia and U.S.
I think the NMD is not merely a matter just pertaining those two
countries. It is the issue pertaining to many countries including
China,North Korea,Iran,Iraq,Lybia,Paskitan and etc.
I think NMD is a device to keep world peace and it may be
inevitable in that sense. The period that the world enjoyed peace
between the WWI and the WWII just ended up with 20 years.
By contrast,thinking in the perspectives of world history, We are
now enjoying world peace for more than half a centuty after the
WWII.
What does this mean? This means that the nuclear weapon gives us
the world peace on the basis of annihilating deatructive power of
the weapon.
This seems to be a paradox.Yes,it is.But the paradox has nicely
worked for more than five decades in this case.
As long as the super powers have nuclear weapons,any super power
could not dare to provoke a war against another super power. In
other words,the nuclear weapons totally have changed the channel of
world history. The point here is not the nuclear weapon in itself
but the U.S. is the first country ever have the weapon.
What has happened if the former communist U.S.S.R or Natzi
Germany ever had the weapon in the first place? Of course,it also
changed the current of the world history. However,the direction of
the change might not be that one we see now.
After all,what matter are the sences of morality and ethics,the
views about the world and the views about the history and the
philosophy on the part of those who have nuclear weapons.
I think the nuclear weapon is something like a knife. It is the
same as the nature of things that if a knife falls into the hand of
a master of the swordmanship ,it functions as a tool of self defense
but if it falls into a gangster's hand,it functions as a bloodshed
lethal weapon.
As for the NMD,I would like suggest you realize the fact that it
is not the system of the assailment but that of the defense.
As far as I know,U.S.defense strategy has based upon nuclear
deterrence i.e. mutually assured destruction since 1960s. The major
problem had been in the MAD strategy was that it will not be useful
if the U.S.missiles are hit by U.S.S.R. missiles far before they can
reach the U.S.S.R targets.
But U.S.S.R had started the construction of the anti-ballistic
missile air defense setup early in 1960s. To cope this problem ,the
U.S. had pushed forward ABM treaties with U.S.S.R.
Now many years have passed and many things have changed from that
time.
The North Korea ,one of so called rouge countries, has succeeded
in developing the long range missile which can directly strike U.S.
continent while the china has been piling up the missiles.
One in a thousand, if a certain leader of a rouge country may
launch a missile toward the U.S. continent by mistake or madness,
the U.S. will retaliate it by the devastating vengence attacks,then
the barely maintained peace of the world will not have anything but
to be broken.
In my view, the U.S. is now worrying about this most of all other
things.
In the past, the U.S. had just one counterpart ,the U.S.S.R.,in
the problems as such. But now she has so many counterparts to deal
with.
Well,What should the U.S. do?
Should it reinforce the nuclear assailment system?
I think NMD is not the best solution to the problem but I also
think it could be a sort of the second best answer.
The best answer may be that the U.S. devotes herself to persuade
the rouge nations to give up dangerous missile play and hopefully
they are persuaded to stop the dirty play.
This will require a cosiderable amount of perseverence for the
part of the U.S.
possumdag
- 09:57am Jun 12, 2001 EST (#4833
of 4841) Possumdag@excite.com
Yale's Prof notes http://www.abc.net.au/newsradio/listen.htm
that America is beginning to look to International Law for
models; that Rice put out an unofficial press release before going
to Europe noting that issues would be looked at in terms of 'POLICY'
issues, rather than 'MORAL'issues - as per European viewpoint.
Issues being -- Kyoto, Green house gas, genetically modified
plant/foods etc..
possumdag
- 10:03am Jun 12, 2001 EST (#4834
of 4841) Possumdag@excite.com
midmoon: climb aboard! The issues you mention are all 'somewhere'
in the thread - take a look. The reason discussion is on Russia and
America is because these guys have a pow-wow on Friday. What does
midmoon think PresBush and PresPutin will be saying to each other ?
rshowalter
- 10:15am Jun 12, 2001 EST (#4835
of 4841) Robert Showalter
showalte@macc.wisc.edu
Perhaps discussing "little league baseball?"
Maybe actually discussing steps toward peace and security,
and justice.
Some discussions on this thread are a step toward this.
I'd say, especially -- that notions of "ignorant, amoral
Russians" sometimes supported by the Republican right wing, and
its many representatives in the Bush administration -- don't fit the
very high level of conception, work, and moral concern
almarst shows.
Controls on corporate power (controls on all forms of
power) are important.
almarst-2001
- 10:18am Jun 12, 2001 EST (#4836
of 4841)
midmoon
6/12/01 9:56am
You obviously exclude the possibility the US is the one to play a
role of a "gangster".
Not everyone on this planet may agree. To put it politely.
(5 following messages)
New York Times on the Web Forums Science
Missile Defense
|