New York Times on the Web Forums Science
Russian military leaders have expressed concern about US plans
for a national missile defense system. Will defense technology be
limited by possibilities for a strategic imbalance? Is this just SDI
all over again?
(4663 previous messages)
dirac_10
- 02:42pm Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4664
of 4671)
smartalix - 02:08pm Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4662 of 4663)
Seeing something and being able to affect it are two different
things.
10 to 100 megawatts will do a heck of a lot of affecting. It'll
turn many kilograms of steel or titanium into a gas in seconds.
Also, How can you even make a time assesment for the laser
to defeat armor? Metal foil will have a different
burn-through rate than ablative armor, for example. What if
it takes a significant number of seconds to acheive
burn-through?
Energy is conserved. The energy involved, if efficiently
transferred, is ample to obliterate the warhead. And we know the
energy to heat any metal to a liquid. It would probably quit working
long before. And, yes, in general, it might take seconds for a
warhead. Depends.
That does not even address the matter of reaction motion
from ablating material, be it armor or simply warhead casing
material.
Some energy sluffed off by the kinetic energy and hot parts
leaving, but more energy available where that came from. And much
cheaper than putting the mass into orbit. They say it costs about
one thousand dollars to shoot down a katusha.
The jet of material from the laser target will instill enough
random motion at the extreme distances and speeds involve to
become a significant factor in beam contact time on any spot
long enough to achieve burn-through.
It costs a heck of a lot more money to put mass into space than
it does light. Can Russia come up with lots of clever tricks. No
doubt. But N. Korea still can't even build an ICBM.
How long must a 1-MW laser be trained on a point on a piece
of half-inch steel at a distance of several miles through
atmosphere to burn through?
Efficiency as it passes through the atmosphere is not stated that
I know of. But the range of the airplane one that will be in service
in a couple of years is supposed to be many hundreds of miles.
If it can be focused to one tenth of a meter, like the existing
ones at a shorter range, a 10 megawatt laser will raise a steel or
titanium 1/2 inch plate to melting temperature in less than a
second.
How about after it has been coated with the heat
shielding required to survive atmospheric entry?
Energy is conserved. If delivered, the heat shield will vaporize.
How about after the warhead is then covered in layers
of reflective and ablative material?
Cleverness in this regard, will probably be one of the things
that Russia will be able to do.
But in repeating this over and over, you are missing the fact
that an ICBM booster is a sitting duck, and can't be armor plated.
And that the booster is the current planned target. Not that the
warhead itself won't eventually be a sitting duck too.
Can you answer that question?
Looks like it.
What about if the warhead is spining/tumbling? How will the
laser maintain consistent contact?
Well since we are talking about the future, not the current plan
to hit the vastly easier to destroy booster, if the laser is 100 or
1000 megawatts, it won't matter. The warhead will be a cloud of gas.
Those target missiles were not only travelling far slower than
an incoming warhead would re-entering the atmosphere, they
weren't protected in any way.
Yeah, but they are very fast indeed. And the angular accuracy
required is about the same. Not to mention that we only spent 200
millon on it. And technology is a lot better as every year goes by.
This is very good news for the technology, that is true.
However, that system is still far from being ready to
deploy.
About a year they say. Maybe sooner. The THEL ground based one
that is. The airborne one will take a year longer.
There is a significant difference between destroying an
old soviet rocket-artillery round, which is basicall
dirac_10
- 02:43pm Jun 9, 2001 EST (#4665
of 4671)
continued...
There is a significant difference between destroying an
old soviet rocket-artillery round, which is basically a
thin-walled metal pipe packed with explosives, and a missile
nosecone,
Which, of course, is why they are planning on using the lasers
against the rockets, not warheads, but hopefully, you will know that
now.
I reiterate, I support this research. But even this news, as
positive as it is, is a long way from fielding an operational
system of any effectiveness.
Then I guess the Israelis are fools in regards to how to defend
their country. They have no clue.
As far as unilateral action, I point out to you we live in
a multifaceted world and we cannot isolate the extent our
actions effect other nations.
Yeah, our actions are going to effect whether Saddam can destroy
us by pushing a button.
We cannot simply tell Russia, "But it's only for the
rogue nations!" and expect them to just nod like an idiot.
There you go again, saying that it won't work against the
Saddams, but will against the Russians that had no problem with
ICBM's 50 years ago. Can't have it both ways.
The very premise that an ABM system will protect us from such
a rogue threat is flawed.
But it will stop Russia? Back and forth, back and forth. Make up
your mind.
(6 following messages)
New York Times on the Web Forums Science
Missile Defense
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