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    Missile Defense

Technology has always found its greatest consumer in a nation's war and defense efforts. Since the last attempts at a "Star Wars" defense system, has technology changed considerably enough to make the latest Missile Defense initiatives more successful? Can such an application of science be successful? Is a militarized space inevitable, necessary or impossible?

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dejaxxvu - 12:47am Jan 20, 2002 EST (#10898 of 10921)

Does Nuclear Culture have Gender?

Do Bears feature?

rshow55 - 10:23am Jan 20, 2002 EST (#10899 of 10921) Delete Message

Military decisions are serious , and I'd like to quote a poem. I believe it applies today, and should remembered always, when people think of military action, and what "ordinary bureacratic evasion and bungling" can do, when it counts.

Mesopotamia by Rudyard Kipling , . . . . 1917 MD9900 rshowalter 9/29/01 9:28am

It is not "unpatriotic" or "indecent" to expect right answers. Ones that can work. Not the technical analog of Ponzi schemes. Enron, it now appears, was one large, ornate, carefully hidden pyramid scheme. How 287 Turned Into 7 : Lessons in Fuzzy Math By GRETCHEN MORGENSON http://www.nytimes.com/2002/01/20/business/yourmoney/20EARN.html

It appears to me that, from a technical point of view, "Star Wars" is much like a pyramid scheme - a Ponzi scheme. Escalating promises. Smoke and mirrors. No substance, at the systems level that counts. It isn't in the national interest, in any reasonable sense I can see, to continue the bluff. There were reasons to start the bluff, years ago, but the cold war ought to be over, and we need to deal with the problems we face in ways that can work.

MD9901-9903 are interesting, too.

dejaxxvu - 12:30pm Jan 20, 2002 EST (#10900 of 10921)

Right use of creativity might add value to an economy:
ON CREATIVITY: http://www.rbs0.com/create.htm 1998 by Ronald B. Standler

    'Children seem to have an innate sense of curiosity, enthusiasm, and imagination. Mature adults generally lack these qualities. Where did these qualities get lost? I believe that ... industrial managers beat these qualities out of people, in order to make them easier to control and manage.'
Sternberg's Theory of Creativity
    In my reading of psychological literature, there are numerous hypotheses and theories of creativity that conflict with what I have observed in creative colleagues and what I have read in biographies of creative scientists and composers of music. However, the following theory of creativity, put forth by Prof. Sternberg at Yale University, makes sense to me.
    Sternberg says that all of the following are essential: a lack of any one item in the list precludes creativity. I think he is correct, except for the last item: it is not necessary to have a favorable environment, although such an environment certainly makes life easier for creative people.
Intelligence
  • synthetic intelligence. The ability to combine existing information in a new way.
  • analytic intelligence. The ability to distinguish between new ideas that have potential, and new ideas that are not worth further work. This ability is essential to an effective allocation of resources, by evaluating the quality of new ideas.
  • practical intelligence. The ability to sell one's ideas to funding agencies, managers, editors, reviewers, etc. Without "practical intelligence" the creative person will not be allocated resources to develop their ideas, and the creative person may achieve recognition only posthumously.

    Knowledge gives the ability to recognize what is genuinely new. The history of science shows that many good ideas are discovered independently by more than one person. Scientists and engineers must be familiar with the technical literature, in order to avoid "reinventing the wheel". On the other hand, too much knowledge might block creativity, by immediately providing reasons why a new idea is not worth pursuing and by encouraging a person to be rigid in their thinking.
    Knowledge is also important to provide skills necessary to design experiments, to design new products, to analyze the results of experiments, do computations, etc.

    Thinking Styles.

  • Creative people question conventional wisdom, instead of passively accepting that wisdom.
  • Creative people question common assumptions and rules, instead of mindlessly follow them. This style brings creative people into conflict with society around them, so it is also essential to have a personality that tolerates this conflict, as explained in the next item in this list.

    Personality.

  • Creative people take the risk to defy conventional wisdom and to be a nonconformist.
  • Creative people have the courage to persist, even when the people around them provide objections, criticism, ridicule, and other obstacles. Most people are too timid to be really creative.

    Motivation
    intrinsic or personal.
    Creative people genuinely enjoy their work and set their own goals.
    extrinsic.
    There are a number of extrinsic motivators: money, promotions, prizes, praise, fame, etc.
    Extrinsic motivators mostly focus on an end result, not the process of discovery or creativity.
    In highly creative people, extrinsic motivators appear to be less important than intrinsic motivators.

    Environmental Context.
    Many environments (particularly managers and bureaucracy) discourage creativity. A creative individual who could flourish in one environment can become a routine, ordinary worker in another environment.
    The optimum environment for creative people is where they can be paid to do their creative work, so creativity is a full-time job, not a spare-time hobby

    dejaxxvu - 12:48pm Jan 20, 2002 EST (#10901 of 10921)

    Would there be any 'creative people' in the Military-techno environment who are reduced via routinisation to 'ordinary' ...
    How are loses of 'potential' measured by an economy - are they measured?
    What might such people have been able to provide for us had they not been submerged in dead-end routine?

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